±±¾©Ê±¼ä5ÔÂ9ÈÕÁ賿Á½µã£¬ÃÀ¹ú×ÜͳÌØÀÊÆÕÐû²¼ÃÀ¹ú½«Í˳öÒÁÀʺËÐÒ飬²¢»Ö¸´¶ÔÒÁÀʵÄÖƲá£ÌØÀÊÆÕ±íʾ£¬ÃÀ¹ú½«Ñ°Çó¶ÔÒÁÀʲÉÈ¡“×î¸ß¼¶±ð”µÄ¾¼ÃÖƲã¬ÈκΰïÖúÒÁÀÊ»ñµÃºËÎäÆ÷µÄ¹ú¼Ò¶¼½«ÃæÁÙÖƲá£
ÃÀ¹ú½«¸øÆäÃËÓÑ180Ì컺³åÆÚÍ˳öÒÁÀÊʯÓͽ»Ò×
¾ÝÍâý±¨µÀ³Æ£¬ÃÀ¹ú½«¸øÆäÃËÓÑ180ÌìµÄ»º³åÆÚÍ˳öÒÁÀÊʯÓͽ»Òס£180Ìì¹ý¶ÉÆÚ½áÊøºó£¬ÃÀ¹ú½«ÖØжÔÒÁÀÊÑëÐС¢Ö¸¶¨µÄÒÁÀʽðÈÚ»ú¹¹¼°ÒÁÀÊÄÜÔ´ÁìÓòʵʩÖƲá£
ÔÚÌØÀÊÆÕÐû²¼Í˳öÒÁÀʺËÐÒéµÄ¾ö¶¨Ö®ºó£¬ÃÀ¹ú²ÆÕþ²¿³¤Å¬ÇÕ±íʾ£¬¶ÔÒÁÀʵÄÖƲü´¿ÌÉúЧ¡£ÔÚ°éËæ×ÅÌØÀÊÆÕÐû²¼¾ö¶¨µÄÒ»·ÝÎļþÀÃÀ¹ú²ÆÕþ²¿Ã÷È·±íʾ£¬ÃÀ¹ú½«¼ÌÐøÖÂÁ¦ÓÚ¼õÉÙÒÁÀÊʯÓÍÏúÊÛ¡£
¸ÃÐÅÏ¢±ÈһЩʯÓÍóÒ×ÉÌÔ¤ÆÚµÄÒªÑÏÀ÷µÃ¶à¡£µ«Å¬ÇÕ±íʾ£¬ËûÔ¤ÆÚÓͼ۲»»á×߸ߡ£Ëû²¹³ä³Æ£¬ÃÀ¹úÒѾÓ듸÷·½”½øÐÐÁ˶Ի°£¬ËûÃÇÔ¸ÒâÔö¼ÓʯÓ͹©Ó¦ÒÔµÖÏûÒÁÀÊÖƲÃËùÔì³ÉµÄ¹©Ó¦Ï½µ¡£
¼¸ºõÓë´Ëͬʱ£¬É³ÌØýÌå»ú¹¹Ô®ÒýÒ»ÃûÄäÃûÄÜÔ´¹ÙÔ±µÄ»°³Æ£¬É³Ìؽ«Å¬Á¦¼õÇáʯÓÍÊг¡Èκι©Ó¦¶ÌȱËù´øÀ´µÄÓ°Ïì¡£
¸ÃÏûÏ¢¶ÔʯÓÍÆÚ»õÊг¡µÄÓ°Ïì²»´ó¡£´Ó±¾ÖÜ¿ªÊ¼£¬ÒòΪÊг¡Ô¤ÆÚÌØÀÊÆÕ»Ö¸´¶ÔÒÁÀÊʵʩÖƲã¬Ê¯ÓÍÆÚ»õ¼Û¸ñ³öÏÖÉÏÕÇ¡£5ÔÂ7ÈÕ£¬WTI¼Û¸ñÈýÄê°ëÒÔÀ´Ê×´ÎÉÏÆÆ70ÃÀÔª/Í°£¬²¼Â×ÌØÔÓÍÆÚ»õÔò¶ÌÔÝÉýÖÁ75ÃÀÔª/Í°ÉÏ·½£¬´¥¼°2014Äê11ÔÂÒÔÀ´×î¸ßˮƽ¡£5ÔÂ8ÈÕ£¬²¼Â×ÌØÔÓͺÍWTI¼Û¸ñ¾ùÊյ͡£
Ô¤¼ÆÒÁÀÊÔÓͲúÁ¿½«Ï½µ40ÍòÍ°/ÈÕ
CapitalAlphaPartners¹«Ë¾µÄ·ÖÎöʦJamesLucierºÍTristanBerne±íʾ£¬ÄÇЩΪÁ˱ÜÃâ¶þ¼¶ÖƲÃÑ°Çó´ÓÃÀ¹ú¹úÎñÔº»ñµÃ“´ó·ùÏ÷¼õ”»íÃâµÄ¹ú¼Ò£¬ÐèÒªÏÔʾÆäÔÚ11ÔÂ4ÈÕ֮ǰ¼õÉÙÒÁÀÊʯÓͲɹº£¬ÒÔ±ãδÀ´ÊýÔ¿ÉÒԹ۲쵽Æ乺ÂòģʽµÄ±ä»¯¡£
7ÄêÇ°£¬ÃÀ¹ú¼°ÆäÃËÓÑÒòÒÁÀʺËÏîÄ¿¶ÔÒÁÀÊʵʩ¶îÍâÖƲ᣾ÝÃÀ¹úÄÜÔ´ÐÅÏ¢Êð£¨EIA£©£¬µ±Ê±Å·ÖÞ¼°ÑÇÖÞµÄÂò¼ÒתÏòÄáÈÕÀûÑÇ¡¢É³ÌØ¡¢¿ÆÍþÌØ¡¢ÒÁÀ¿ËºÍ°²¸çÀ¹ºÂòʯÓÍ¡£Öйúµ±Ê±Ôö¼ÓÁË°²¸çÀºÍÒÁÀ¿ËµÄʯÓ͹ºÂò£¬ÆäËüÑÇÖÞ¹ú¼ÒÔòתÏò´ÓÄáÈÕÀûÑǽø¿ÚʯÓÍ¡£
Moody’sAnalyticsµÄÄÜÔ´¾¼Ãѧ¼ÒChrisLafakis±íʾ£¬°Â°ÍÂíʱÆÚ¶ÔÒÁÀʵÄʯÓÍÖƲõ¼ÖÂÒÁÀÊÔÓͲúÁ¿¼õÉÙ100ÍòÍ°/ÈÕ£¬ÃÀ¹ú¸Õ¸ÕÐû²¼µÄÖƲÃÔ¤¼Æ½«µ¼ÖÂÒÁÀÊÔÓͲúÁ¿Ï½µ40ÍòÍ°/ÈÕ¡£°Â°ÍÂíʱÆڵĶ෽ÖƲÃʵʩÈç´ËÓÐЧ£¬ÕýÊÇÒòΪÕâЩÖƲÃÊǶ෽µÄ£¬¶øÌØÀÊÆÕ¶ÔÒÁÀʵÄÖƲò¢²»ÊÇ¡£
ÌØÀÊÆÕÐû²¼Í˳öÒÁÀʺËÐÒéµÄ¾ö¶¨ºó£¬µÂ¹ú¡¢·¨¹ú¡¢Ó¢¹ú·×·×Ðû²¼£¬ËûÃǽ«¼ÌÐøã¡ÊغËÐÒé³Ðŵ¡£·¨¹ú¡¢µÂ¹úºÍÓ¢¹ú·¢±í¹²Í¬ÉùÃ÷£¬³ÆËûÃǶÔÃÀ¹úµÄ¾ö¶¨±íʾ“Òź¶”¡£Å·ÃËÍâ½»Õþ²ßÓ밲ȫÊÂÎñ¸ß¼¶´ú±íĪ¸ÇÀïÄá³Æ£¬Å·ÃË“¾öÐÄά³Ö”ÒÁÀʺËÐÒé¡£
ɳÌØ»òÌî²¹ÒÁÀÊÒòÖƲÃÔì³ÉµÄ¹©Ó¦È±¿Ú£¿
ÏÞÖÆÒÁÀÊʯÓͲúÁ¿½«ÎªÉ³ÌØÌȱ¿Ú´ò¿ª¿Õ¼ä£¬ÒòΪɳÌØÊÇOPECÖÐÏÐÖòúÄÜ×î¶àµÄ³ÉÔ±¹ú¡£ÔÚÉÏÒ»ÂÖ¶ÔÒÁÀÊÔâÓöÖƲúó£¬É³ÌØÔö¼ÓÁËʯÓͲúÁ¿£¬ÒÔÓ¦¶Ôµ±Ê±É³ÌØËù˵µÄÀ´×Ô¿Í»§µÄ¶îÍâÐèÇó¡£
2016Äê4Ô£¬É³ÌØÍõ´¢Äº±Ä¬µÂ·±¾·ÈøÀÕÂü£¨MohammedbinSalman£©ÔÚ½ÓÊܲɷÃʱ±íʾ£¬É³ÌØ¿ÉÒÔÁ¢¼´½«ÆäʯÓͲúÁ¿Ìá¸ßÖÁ1150ÍòÍ°¡£µ«É³ÌØʯÓͲúÁ¿Ò»Ö±Ã»Óг¬¹ý1063ÍòÍ°/ÈÕ£¬¼´OPEC¼õ²úÐÒé֮ǰ2016µÚÈý¼¾¶ÈµÄˮƽ¡£
¼øÓÚɳÌØÏ£ÍûÓͼ۴¥¼°80ÃÀÔª/Í°£¬É³ÌØÊÇ·ñÌá¸ßʯÓͲúÁ¿»òÐíÊÇÁíÒ»»ØÊ¡£½ñÄ꣬²¼Â×ÌØÓͼÛÒÑÅÊÉý12%¡£ÔÚÌØÀÊÆÕÐû²¼Í˳öÒÁÀʺËÐÒéµÄ¾ö¶¨ºó£¬²¼Â×ÌØÔÓÍÊÕÓÚ74.85ÃÀÔª/Í°¡£
ÃÀ¹úÃ÷È·±íʾ£¬½«´ò»÷ÄÇЩÓëÒÁÀÊ×öÉúÒâµÄÆäËü¹ú¼Ò¡£ÃÀ¹ú²ÆÕþ²¿±íʾ£¬ÕýÃÜÇÐ×·×ÙÕâ180Ì컺³åÆÚÆÚ¼ä“ÒÁÀÊʯÓ͹ºÂò¼õÉÙµÄÊýÁ¿ºÍ±ÈÀý”£¬ÓÈÆäÊÇÄÇЩѰÇóÃÀ¹ú»íÃâÒÔÔÊÐí¹ºÂò²¿·ÖʯÓ͵Ĺú¼Ò¡£
¸çÂ×±ÈÑÇ´óѧȫÇòÄÜÔ´Õþ²ßÖÐÐĸ߼¶Ñо¿Ñ§ÕßRichardNephew±íʾ£¬ÌØÀÊÆÕ“Ö±½ÓÍþвÄÇЩ¾Ü¾øÅäºÏÃÀ¹úʵʩÖƲõĹú¼Ò”¡£¾¡¹ÜÓÐеÄÖ¸µ¼£¬¿¼Âǵ½ÃÀ¹úÓйØÂÁºÍ¸ÖÌú¹ØË°µÄ¾ö¶¨£¬¸÷¹úºÜ¿ÉÄÜÑ°ÇóÃÀ¹úÑ°Çó³ÎÇ壬Æäµ½µ×¶ÔËûÃǺÍËûÃǵÄÆóÒµÓÐÄÄЩҪÇó¡£